Fiscal Highlights - May 2015

Employment Drives Economic Growth - Andrea Wilko ( PDF)

Strong employment continues to be the largest factor in economic growth in Utah.  Economists expect employment to continue to expand through 2015 and 2016 with growth rates of 3.1% and 2.8% respectively.  Employment growth is widespread with eight of the ten primary sectors experiencing job growth.  Mining is the one sector showing job losses.  This is due to coal mine closures and a slowdown in copper production.  
Wages are also contributing to economic growth in the state with growth of 2.3% in FY 2015 expected to moderate to 1.9% in 2016.  Combining the estimated wage growth with employment forecasts, economists expect total wages to grow by 5.5% in FY 2015 and 4.7% for 2015. Personal Income, which consists of factors beyond wages, is expected to grow at 4.7% in FY 2015 and 4.6% in FY 2016.  The information is shown in the chart below.  

Overall, we expect the economy to continue at a brisk pace for the remainder of the year and into 2016.  Next month, we will present a comprehensive report to the Legislature detailing the overall condition of the economy, and we will present a range forecast for FY 2015 state revenue.  Stay tuned.
May 2015 Content ( PDF)

Bond Refunding: Saving Money on Debt Service - Clare Tobin Lence
Bonds are used to finance large State initiatives, usually in the form of major infrastructure proj...
Budget Policy Changes Enacted in 2015 G.S. - Steven M. Allred
During the 2015 General Session, the Legislature passed several bills that had an impact on budgeta...
Classroom Teachers in Utah's Public Schools - Ben Leishman
Do classroom teachers really only represent 50% of all full time equivalent (FTE) positions in the ...
Department of Environmental Quality Significant Changes - Brian Wikle
Executive DirectorAmanda Smith, Executive Director of the Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ)...
Employment Drives Economic Growth - Andrea Wilko
Strong employment continues to be the largest factor in economic growth in Utah.  Economists...
Justice Reinvestment Initiative Funding and Performance Goals - Gary R. Syphus
House Bill 348, Criminal Justice Programs and Amendments, amended current criminal justice statute,...
The April Tax Payments are In - How Do They Look? - Thomas E. Young
Every year staff presents you with point estimates for year-end revenue collections to the General ...
UCAT Program Approvals - Angela J. Oh
Certificate programs provided by campuses of the Utah College of Applied Technology (UCAT) are deve...
Utah System of Higher Education Increases Tuition by 3% for 2015-2016 - Spencer C. Pratt
During its regular meeting on March 27, 2015, the State Board of Regents approved a first-tier tuit...
What Are We Doing to Reduce Catastrophic Wildfires in Utah? - Ivan D. Djambov
The Division of Forestry, Fire, and State Lands is tasked in S.B. 56, Wildland Fire Policy (2015 GS...
Where Does the Department of Health's Fee Revenue Come From? - Russell T. Frandsen
The Department of Health estimates total revenue of $13.1 million for FY 2016 from 1,200 fees. &nbs...
Workforce Services Will Report on $29 Million of Additional One-time TANF Projects - Stephen C. Jardine
The Legislature passed S.B. 47, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, during its 2015 General Se...

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Office of the Legislative Fiscal Analyst
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Salt Lake City, UT 84114
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